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No
middle ground for crops between drought and deluge
IRIN News
January 16, 2008 http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?ReportId=76274
After six years of drought,
the forecast was that Zimbabwe was set for good rains and a decent
harvest this season - and then came the deluge.
The country has been
pounded by torrential rains, with December 2007 the wettest month
in 127 years, according to the metrological department. Localised
flooding has claimed 21 lives, affecting around 5,000 people along
the southeastern border with Mozambique, and a further 3,000 in
Muzarabani district in the northeast of the country.
At the end of December
the government declared a national disaster, with emergency units
keeping a close watch on flood prone areas, UN agencies reported.
Farmers in flood-affected
districts, who had planted early, trying to take advantage of the
predicted good rains, have seen their crops drowned, along with
hopes of a marketable surplus.
"We prayed for the
rains but the rains have now caused us pain and suffering,"
said a despairing Esther Chiwodza, a communal farmer in the low-lying
district of Chiredzi in Midlands Province.
She invested in seeds
and fertiliser and planted early in October. "All the crops
I spent my entire savings on have been washed away and there is
no prospect of saving any crops, as the whole fields are waterlogged
and the remaining crops will not survive the current rains."
Neighbours lost livestock
and homes collapsed. "After the rainy season is over everyone
in my village will become a candidate for food aid, and if the donor
agencies do not come we will starve to death," said Chiwodza.
Zimbabwe Farmers Union
president Silas Hungwe said while the heavy rains had delayed planting
in some areas, and crops were waterlogged in others, it was too
early to tell what the impact on national production would be.
"We pray that we
get a two to three weeks' let-up in rainfall so that we save some
of the crops, but if that does not happen then our crops will die,"
Hungwe said.
Over 50 percent of Zimbabwe's
grain is produced in the Mashonaland provinces in the north, and
Manicaland Province in the east; areas that have escaped the worst
of the flooding, noted James Breen, the UN's Food and Agricultural
Organisation regional emergency agronomist.
However, continued heavy
rain will leach out what little fertiliser farmers have been able
to afford, "and that will have an effect on yield", Breen
said.
Farmers who lost their
early crop would struggle to replant: "the availability [of
fertiliser] might be there, but the money to buy it might not",
he added.
Zimbabwe's food security
situation has been precarious for the past six years as a result
of drought and an economic crisis that has seen inflation hit a
world record, and foreign exchange shortages squeeze fuel and spare
part supplies.
Over 4 million people
- a third of the population - are expected to need food aid until
the harvest in March, which the government had predicted would be
a bumper crop. But while the heavy rains may play havoc with that
forecast, Breen said they could help with the recovery of drought-hit
pasture in the livestock belt of the south and west of the country.
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